Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.186564 0.214798 0.247099 0.287060 0.335540 0.392929 0.466723
2025-05-11 0.145389 0.182125 0.229019 0.294467 0.385417 0.510421 0.700930
2025-05-18 0.119576 0.159122 0.213820 0.297535 0.427257 0.629585 0.989154
2025-05-25 0.102084 0.142265 0.201414 0.298907 0.464366 0.752601 1.343313
2025-06-01 0.088846 0.128432 0.189701 0.297064 0.493976 0.872386 1.758802
2025-06-08 0.078199 0.116458 0.178163 0.292004 0.515293 0.983841 2.228810
2025-06-15 0.072070 0.110507 0.175081 0.300582 0.564486 1.173109 3.038120
2025-06-22 0.064851 0.101651 0.165424 0.294471 0.581253 1.295895 3.772752
2025-06-29 0.060081 0.096282 0.161020 0.297585 0.619248 1.491094 4.969015
2025-07-06 0.055202 0.090085 0.154113 0.293980 0.640271 1.651205 6.247966
2025-07-13 0.052076 0.086651 0.151922 0.300053 0.687778 1.920479 8.491729
2025-07-20 0.049466 0.083850 0.150532 0.307608 0.742156 2.250441 11.822059
2025-07-27 0.046896 0.080902 0.148573 0.313832 0.796755 2.630315 16.716117
2025-08-03 0.044745 0.078544 0.147547 0.322302 0.862615 3.120111 24.735611
2025-08-10 0.042411 0.075570 0.144789 0.325794 0.914508 3.603074 35.757830
2025-08-17 0.040171 0.072558 0.141545 0.327348 0.961108 4.116326 51.842728
2025-08-24 0.037912 0.069284 0.137296 0.325286 0.994334 4.601018 73.671086
2025-08-31 0.035645 0.065790 0.132129 0.319614 1.012024 5.020293 101.617702
2025-09-07 0.034490 0.064552 0.132119 0.329233 1.097374 6.045804 181.214127
2025-09-14 0.032512 0.061362 0.127038 0.322381 1.109403 6.539009 259.980059
2025-09-21 0.031244 0.059624 0.125328 0.325872 1.171138 7.587968 470.719396
2025-09-28 0.029701 0.057149 0.121507 0.321831 1.195993 8.356229 777.716988
2025-10-05 0.028785 0.056011 0.120960 0.328640 1.279911 9.976033 1861.809824